Sustainable food and cash crop production

Sustainable food and cash crop production

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Sustainable food and cash crop production

Country
Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Food and Beverage
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Food and Agriculture
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
20% - 25% (in ROI)
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Short Term (0–5 years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
USD 100 million - USD 1 billion
Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.
< USD 500,000
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
No Poverty (SDG 1) Zero Hunger (SDG 2)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Good health and well-being (SDG 3) Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8) Responsible Consumption and Production (SDG 12)

Business Model Description

Sustainable production of cash crops and food crops, especially cocoa, rubber, shea, palm oil, cashews, rice, soy beans, ginger, sesame, cassava, tomatoes, cow peas and sugar

Expected Impact

Increase value added in food chains, strengthen economic growth and generate decent jobs.

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

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Country & Regions

Explore the country and target locations of the investment opportunity.
Country
Region
  • Nigeria: Countrywide
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Sector Classification

Situate the investment opportunity within sustainability focused sector, subsector and industry classifications.
Sector

Food and Beverage

Development need
About 25.5% of Nigeria’s population lacks adequate and improved nutrition.(1) Similarly, data from the National Bureau of Statistics suggests 26.4% of the population experienced severe food insecurity in 2016.(1) The Sustainable Development Report ranks Nigeria number 48.0 for SDG 2 (Zero Hunger). While performance against this Goal has improved, major challenges persist.(2)

Policy priority
The government intensified efforts to improve agricultural yield, and investments aim to improve agricultural infrastructure.(1) Policy priorities outlined in the Economic Recovery and Growth Plan aim to: increase agricultural GDP (gross domestic product) to NGN 21.0 trillion in 2020 at an average annual growth rate of 6.9%; reduce food imports; and become a key exporter of agricultural products.(3)

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Long term efforts to improve women's access to agriculture and livelihood resources (including land, agricultural inputs and education) requires tackling cultural and gender norms that prevent women’s empowerment. Anecdotal evidence shows women are less likely to gain access to credit, land and other agricultural inputs.(14)

Investment opportunities introduction
The government is also considering strategies such as providing irrigation infrastructure to enable year-round production to boost agricultural productivity.(3)

Key bottlenecks introduction
The Sustainable Development Report ranks Nigeria number 48.0 for SDG 2 (Zero Hunger). While performance against this Goal has improved, major challenges persist.(2)

Sub Sector

Food and Agriculture

Development need
In 2018, agriculture accounted for 21.2% of Nigeria's GDP (gross domestic product) and employed two-thirds of the working population.(3) Indicators of adult obesity have improved, while indicators of undernourishment have underperformed. Prevalence of stunting in children is falling.(4)

Key bottlenecks introduction
The Sustainable Development Report ranks Nigeria number 48.0 for SDG 2 (Zero Hunger). While performance against this Goal has improved, major challenges persist.(2)

Industry

Agricultural Products

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Sustainable food and cash crop production

Business Model

Sustainable production of cash crops and food crops, especially cocoa, rubber, shea, palm oil, cashews, rice, soy beans, ginger, sesame, cassava, tomatoes, cow peas and sugar

Business Case

Learn about the investment opportunity’s business metrics and market risks.

Market Size and Environment

Market Size (USD)
Describes the value in USD of a potential addressable market of the IOA.

USD 100 million - USD 1 billion

The 2018 Nigerian Export Promotion Council report shows untapped market potential for Nigerian produce. For example, the export market for cocoa beans alone is valued at USD 425 million. Major markets include Germany, Malaysia, Singapore and other international markets.(5)

Indicative Return

ROI
Describes an expected return from the IOA investment over its lifetime.

20% - 25%

A medium sized company investing in production of maize, soy beans, rice, sorghum showed an average return on investment (ROI) of 22% within 9-10 months.(6)

Another investor in ginger and sesame production showed a returns on investment (ROIs) of 28% and 27% respectively within 6-9 months.(7)

Another company estimates a return on investment (ROI) of 55% - 65% on investment in palm oil on 15 hectares of land (beginning from year 5 for 25 years).(8)

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Short Term (0–5 years)

Investments in food crop production typically take less than 1 year to mature. Investors typically see cash flow in less than 2 years.(9)

Cash crop production can have a time horizon of 5-7 years, depending on the crop.(9)

Ticket Size

Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.

< USD 500,000

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Capital - Limited Investor Interest

Agricultural production is generally considered a risky investment. NIRSAL (the Nigerian Incentive-Based Risk Sharing System for Agricultural Lending) is minimizing the risk of agricultural lending through its anchor borrowers programme.

Business - Supply Chain Constraints

Inadequate infrastructure, mechanization and technical capacity; lack of adequate storage facilities; land fragmentation; high logistics costs

Impact Case

Read about impact metrics and social and environmental risks of the investment opportunity.

Sustainable Development Need

In 2018, agriculture accounted for 21.2% of Nigeria's GDP (gross domestic product).(10) The sector also employs two-thirds of the working population.(11)

Over the past 20 years, agricultural value added per capita has risen by less than 1% annually.(11)

Gender & Marginalisation

Long term efforts to improve women's access to agriculture and livelihood resources (including land, agricultural inputs and education) requires tackling cultural and gender norms that prevent women’s empowerment. Anecdotal evidence shows women are less likely to gain access to credit, land and other agricultural inputs.(14)

Expected Development Outcome

Investments could facilitate improved food security for the entire nation and nutrition at the household level.

Investments could facilitate increased employment opportunities (especially for youth) via development of the agricultural sector, increased value chain development and export opportunities/foreign exchange earnings.

Investments could lead to higher levels of protection of biodiversity and the entire ecosystem.

Gender & Marginalisation

Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP) 2020 target for female population that owned agriculture: 80.8%. SDG target by 2030: 100%.(15)

Primary SDGs addressed

No Poverty (SDG 1)
1 - No Poverty

1.1.1 Proportion of the population living below the international poverty line by sex, age, employment status and geographic location (urban/rural)

1.2.1 Proportion of population living below the national poverty line, by sex and age

1.2.2 Proportion of men, women and children of all ages living in poverty in all its dimensions according to national definitions

Current Value

62.6% of Nigeria's population live below the international poverty line: 69% of people in rural areas live below the international poverty line, compared with 51% of people living in urban areas.(14)

46% in 2018.(16)

42.2% in 2017.(14)

Target Value

The Federal Government is implementing a national Social Investment Programme which focuses on providing Social Safety Nets for the poor, welfare for the unemployed, and job creation and skills enhancement with a target of creating about 3 million jobs.(15)

21.1% by 2030.(14)

Zero Hunger (SDG 2)
2 - Zero Hunger

2.1.1 Prevalence of undernourishment

2.1.2 Prevalence of moderate or severe food insecurity in the population, based on the Food Insecurity Experience Scale (FIES)

Current Value

25.5% in 2015. (15)

Moderate: 26.4%. Severe 19.6%. (15)

Target Value

Derived ERGP (Economic Recovery and Growth Plan) target by 2020: 17%, by 2030: 0. (15)

Derived ERGP (Economic Recovery and Growth Plan) target by 2020: 17.6%, by 2030: 0. (15)

Secondary SDGs addressed

3 - Good Health and Well-Being
8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth
12 - Responsible Consumption and Production

Directly impacted stakeholders

People

Small holder farmers, commercial farmers, households

Planet

Biodiversity

Corporates

Industry offtakers

Outcome Risks

Investments could result in environmental pollution, land degradation (loss of soil fertility) and erosion.

Impact Risks

Alignment risk because production may not be locked into an enterprise model.

Unexpected impact risk given the negative effects of agricultural production especially on biodiversity.

Stakeholder participation risk given land use issues may arise after agricultural production reaches large scale.

Impact Classification

B—Benefit Stakeholders

What

The outcome is likely to be positive because investments in agricultural production can increase food security, create employment opportunities and increase foreign exchange earnings.

Risk

Investments in agriculture face a number of risks including disease/pest outbreak, volatility of commodity prices, limited working capital and unstable rainfall patterns.

Impact Thesis

Increase value added in food chains, strengthen economic growth and generate decent jobs.

Enabling Environment

Explore policy, regulatory and financial factors relevant for the investment opportunity.

Policy Environment

Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (2017-2020): Agriculture is a major priority for Nigeria, particularly efforts to diversify the economy away from reliance on crude oil.(3)

Additionally, the government is setting up staple crops processing zones (SCPZ), attracting private sector agribusinesses to set up processing plants in zones of high food production, to process commodities into food products.(3)

Financial Environment

Financial incentives: Companies engaged in wholly agricultural activities are entitled to an unrestricted capital allowance.(12) Funding for agricultural value chain development (USD 178 million for palm oil) is available via the Central Bank of Nigeria.

Fiscal incentives: Income of a company engaged in agricultural trade is exempt from paying minimum tax.(12) Zero tariffs are extended for importing agricultural equipment. Tax holidays are extended for investors establishing processing plants in staple crops processing zones.(4)

Other incentives: An extended moratorium on loans is also available and at reduced interest rates.

Regulatory Environment

Act No 19 of 1993 (as amended) and the Food and Related Products (Registration) Act No. 20 of 1999: The National Agency for Food and Drug Administration and Control (NAFDAC) is the regulatory body that regulates and controls food production, importation, exportation and sales.

Regulation: Other regulatory bodies include the Standard Organization of Nigeria (SON), Quarantine service, the Federal Produce Inspection Service (FPIS), PIA, the Federal Ministry of Agriculture, and the Nigerian Incentive-Based Risk Sharing System for Agricultural Lending (NIRSAL).

Marketplace Participants

Discover examples of public and private stakeholders active in this investment opportunity that were identified through secondary research and consultations.

Private Sector

AFEX, Babban Gona, ChubiAgro, Standard Chartered, Sahel Capital, Psaltry International, Onyx Rice Mill, Olam Group, NASCO, Nestle, Group Farma

Government

SON (Standard Organization of Nigeria), Quarantine service, FPIS (Federal Product Inspection Service), PIA (Presidential Initiative on Agriculture), Federal Ministry of Agriculture, NIRSAL (Nigerian Incentive-Based Risk Sharing System for Agricultural Lending)

Multilaterals

IFC (International Finance Corporation), International organizations with focus on agriculture such as International Fund for Agricultural Development, Cultivating New Frontiers in Agriculture (CNFA)

Non-Profit

Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, USAID, Local food banks, NGOs (non-government organizations), Acumen Fund

Public-Private Partnership

Africa Agriculture and Trade Investment Fund (AATIF)

Target Locations

See what country regions are most suitable for the investment opportunity. All references to Kosovo shall be understood to be in the context of the Security Council Resolution 1244 (1999)
country static map
semi-urban

Nigeria: Countrywide

South West, South and South East for cash crops; North West, North East and North Central for food crops.

References

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    • (1) Federal Republic of Nigeria (2017). Implementation of the SDGs: a national voluntary review. https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/content/documents/16029Nigeria.pdf
    • (2) Sachs, J., Schmidt-Traub, G., Kroll, C., Lafortune, G., Fuller, G. (2019): Sustainable Development Report 2019. New York: Bertelsmann Stiftung and Sustainable Development Solutions Network (SDSN)
    • (3) Federal Republic of Nigeria (2017). Economic Recovery and Growth Plan 2017 - 2020. Abuja: Ministry of Budget and National Planning.
    • (4) Federal Republic of Nigeria (2011). Agricultural Transformation Agenda 2011.